Cerro Porteño vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
CCP
1 - 3
OLI
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1994 |
JUN
3 - 2
CCP
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
IND
3 - 0
CCP
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1994 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
59%
23%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1993 |
CCP
0 - 0
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
OLI
0 - 2
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
IND
0 - 1
JUN
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
IND
3 - 0
CCP
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1994 |
IND
0 - 0
OLI
42%
25%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1994 |
JUN
0 - 1
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |