Cerro Porteño vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 5
CCP
22%
26%
53%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CCP
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
TIG
4 - 2
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
RÑU
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 1
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |