Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
CCP
7 - 2
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
CCP
2 - 1
ZAM
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
CCP
18%
23%
58%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 1
CCP
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CCP
2 - 0
LQE
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 5
OLI
28%
24%
47%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
AME
1 - 4
GUA
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
RPA
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |