Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 2
RÑU
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
CCP
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
CCP
3 - 2
GEN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
LQE
2 - 1
CCP
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
CER
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
GUA
22%
29%
50%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
CCP
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 4
RÑU
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |