Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 4
CCP
21%
26%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CCP
5 - 3
RÑU
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
CCP
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
TAC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |