Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 0
CCP
20%
27%
54%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
CCP
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
IND
69%
21%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 0
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 2
CCP
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
IND
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
26%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RÑU
3 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
IND
60%
25%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |