Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
OPE
1 - 0
CCP
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
JUN
1 - 0
CCP
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
0 - 0
JUN
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
BOL
4 - 1
GUA
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
4 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
MIL
5 - 1
GUA
59%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |