Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1967 |
NAC
4 - 1
CCP
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
6 - 2
CCP
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 0
UCO
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
CCP
0 - 1
COL
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 2
BSC
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
3 - 1
GUA
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
4 - 2
COL
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
3 - 0
EME
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |