Cerro Porteño vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
3 - 2
BOL
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
1 - 0
OPE
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1988 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1988 |
BOL
2 - 0
CCP
62%
19%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1990 |
OLI
1 - 0
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
GRE
1 - 3
SAO
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1989 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |