Cerro Porteño vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
OLI
0 - 3
CCP
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 2
CCP
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1981 |
CCP
0 - 1
ATM
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1981 |
FLA
5 - 2
CCP
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1981 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
FLA
2 - 2
ATM
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
FLA
1 - 1
OLI
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1981 |
FLA
5 - 2
CCP
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLA
54%
27%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
BOT
3 - 1
FLA
50%
27%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |