Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-1
Cerro Porteño vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 4
CCP
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
CCP
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 3
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
CCP
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
ETS
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 2
JUV
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |