Cerro Porteño vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
POR
1 - 1
CCP
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
EST
2 - 3
CCP
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
NOB
3 - 2
CCP
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
POR
1 - 2
EST
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
LIB
47%
23%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
EST
2 - 3
CCP
46%
23%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1977 |
POR
3 - 0
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |