Cerro Porteño vs Deportivo Miranda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
CCP
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
CCP
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CCP
3 - 0
SAN
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 0
CCP
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CCP
2 - 0
RÑU
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MIN
2 - 1
MIR
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MIR
0 - 0
ANZ
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MIR
0 - 0
TAC
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TRU
0 - 1
MIR
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAR
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |