Cerro Porteño vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
CCP
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
4 - 1
LQE
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
DEP
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
OLI
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |