Cerro Porteño vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 3
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 1
CCP
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
GEN
61%
22%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 2
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
LQE
0 - 0
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
RÑU
56%
24%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 2
DEP
52%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |