Cerro Porteño vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 0
CCP
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CCP
0 - 1
AME
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LQE
0 - 3
CCP
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 2
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +3 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
RÑU
5 - 1
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |