Cerro Porteño vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GEN
3 - 2
CCP
24%
26%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 1
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
CCP
30%
25%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
CCP
43%
25%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 3
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
DEP
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
CCP
30%
25%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |