Cerro Porteño vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CCP
1 - 2
SFE
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 2
CER
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 1
GAR
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 2
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 5
GUA
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 1
DEP
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
SPO
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |