Cerro Porteño vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
3 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
1 - 1
CCP
62%
19%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
ALI
3 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ALI
1 - 4
CAL
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
1 - 1
CCP
62%
19%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
3 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |