Cerro Porteño vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
OLI
2 - 2
CCP
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
COR
8 - 2
CCP
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
CCP
2 - 5
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
CCP
4 - 3
OLI
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
CCP
2 - 1
BSC
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
TRE
2 - 2
COR
17%
24%
59%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
COR
2 - 1
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
COR
8 - 2
CCP
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
COR
6 - 2
UBI
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |