Cerro Porteño vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1980 |
CCP
1 - 0
OHI
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1980 |
AME
2 - 1
CCP
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
0 - 4
CAL
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
3 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
1 - 1
CCP
62%
19%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
COL
1 - 1
OHI
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1974 |
COL
0 - 2
UNI
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1974 |
COL
1 - 3
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1974 |
HUR
2 - 0
COL
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1974 |
CEN
2 - 0
COL
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |