Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-1
Cerro Porteño vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
NOB
1 - 2
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
RIV
1 - 1
CCP
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1993 |
CCP
2 - 1
RIV
34%
31%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1993 |
CCP
0 - 0
NOB
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
COB
1 - 1
BOL
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
COB
2 - 1
SAN
80%
13%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1993 |
UCO
1 - 1
COB
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1993 |
SAN
2 - 3
COB
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 0
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |