Cerro Porteño vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 5
CCP
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 4
BOC
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 0
CCP
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 1
RÑU
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
12O
2 - 4
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
12O
0 - 1
LQE
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
12O
2 - 3
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
12O
56%
24%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |