Cerro Porteño vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
74%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1964 |
CCP
2 - 2
NAC
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
AUR
2 - 2
CCP
47%
21%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
SAN
9 - 1
CCP
73%
15%
13%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
AUR
0 - 3
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUR
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
AUR
2 - 2
CCP
47%
21%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |