Cerro Porteño vs 2 de Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
6º
6º
34
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 2
CCP
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
SPT
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 2
AME
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 2
JLM
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 3
2DE
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TEM
0 - 2
2DE
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
2DE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |