Cerro Porteño vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CCP
28%
28%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 0
CCP
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AME
2 - 2
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CCP
5 - 1
GEN
73%
19%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 1
CCP
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
OLI
20%
25%
54%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
CER
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
12O
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
CER
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CER
0 - 0
CAC
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |