Cerro Porteño vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
62%
22%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
CCP
1 - 0
JUN
49%
28%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1994 |
CCP
0 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
CCP
1 - 3
OLI
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1994 |
JUN
3 - 2
CCP
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
OLI
5 - 0
CFC
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
1 - 3
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
MIN
1 - 0
CFC
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 1
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 3
SPC
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |