Cerro Porteño vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
35%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1993 |
CCP
0 - 0
NOB
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1993 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
BSC
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1992 |
BSC
1 - 1
CCP
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1992 |
CCP
3 - 0
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
CEN
2 - 1
RIV
30%
29%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
RIV
0 - 1
NOB
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1992 |
RIV
5 - 1
QUI
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
ARG
1 - 1
RIV
27%
29%
44%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
RIV
5 - 2
SLO
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |