Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-7
Cerro Porteño vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
CCP
0 - 1
NAC
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
TAC
2 - 5
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CCP
3 - 0
LQE
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
CCP
2 - 0
DEF
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
GLP
0 - 2
BOC
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
BOC
1 - 0
ARG
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
SLO
3 - 2
BOC
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2005 |
ONC
2 - 1
BOC
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
BOC
3 - 0
INS
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |