Cerro Porteño vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
OLI
1 - 2
CCP
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1969 |
LIT
0 - 1
CCP
24%
20%
56%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 1
CCP
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1969 |
CCP
4 - 1
OLI
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1967 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1969 |
LIT
1 - 1
BOL
25%
21%
54%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1969 |
BOL
1 - 1
OLI
53%
21%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 1
CCP
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
BOL
1 - 0
LIT
83%
10%
7%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
OCT
2 - 2
BOL
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 23 | 49 | 0 |