Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-3
Cerro Porteño vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 0
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CCP
0 - 2
LQE
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 3
CCP
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ATP
3 - 0
YPI
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 3
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATP
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 2
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
ATP
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |