PF Cerro Por. vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
CCP
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 3
CER
76%
16%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 1
TAC
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
LQE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LQE
0 - 4
LIB
25%
28%
48%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
3 - 0
LQE
75%
18%
7%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |