PF Cerro Por. vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
CCP
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 1
CER
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
RÑU
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAR
69%
21%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
CCP
3 - 1
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 2
LIB
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 2
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |