PF Cerro Por. vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
LIB
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
CER
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CER
3 - 1
RÑU
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |