PF Cerro Por. vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 1
CER
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CER
0 - 2
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
CER
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
LQE
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
RÑU
2 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
GUA
22%
29%
50%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |