Cerro Largo vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CSM
1 - 1
CEL
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 3
BOS
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
CEL
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 0
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
BOS
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
PRO
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 2
VIL
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
PLA
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |