Cerro Largo vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
CEL
51%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
CSY
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 1
CEL
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 0
PLA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 0
CEL
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SUD
1 - 2
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 1
SUD
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SUD
0 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CSC
1 - 3
SUD
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 2
SUD
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |