Cerro Largo vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 2
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 3
HFC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CEL
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 1
BOS
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 0
ROC
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 0
DEP
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 3
JUN
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
JUN
3 - 0
ROC
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |