Cerro Largo vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
14º
6º
18
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BOS
3 - 0
CEL
56%
24%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 0
DAN
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
DEP
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 0
CEL
51%
27%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 1
PEÑ
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 0
RIV
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 1
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 1
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
LFC
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |