Cerro Largo vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 0
PEÑ
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
CEL
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
FEN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CSM
2 - 1
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
PEÑ
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 3
RIV
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 1
ETS
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DAN
1 - 2
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |