Cerro Largo vs Rampla Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
5º
3º
1
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 16 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 13 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 11 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 9 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 8 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 8 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 7 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
LFC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 4
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
BOS
0 - 2
CEL
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
DAN
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rampla Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 2
CSM
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
2 - 0
JUN
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 1
BOS
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MWA
2 - 1
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 2
JUN
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |