Cerro Largo vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 2
LFC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 1
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 5
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 1
CEL
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
RAC
3 - 1
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 0
JUV
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LFC
2 - 2
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RAC
2 - 1
CER
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |