Cerro Largo vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HFC
0 - 0
CEL
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CSC
0 - 0
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 0
CAN
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
LFC
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 0
BOS
37%
26%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 0
ROC
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
PLA
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PLA
3 - 2
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
HFC
0 - 3
PLA
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |