Cerro Largo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
CEL
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
FEN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CSM
2 - 1
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 4
NAC
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 1
CEL
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
LFC
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 0
PEÑ
17%
22%
60%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 3
PEÑ
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
FEN
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 1
PEÑ
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |