Cerro Largo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MWA
3 - 2
CEL
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
REN
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 1
CEL
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 2
SUD
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
CSC
38%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 3
PEÑ
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ETS
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAL
4 - 0
PEÑ
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 2
PEÑ
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
ARI
1 - 2
PEÑ
33%
26%
42%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |