Cerro Largo vs Oriental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
CSM
1 - 1
CEL
28%
29%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
REN
0 - 2
CEL
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 4
CSC
56%
25%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 0
CEL
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 3
TAC
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 3
CEN
46%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 1
ORI
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 2
SUD
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 3
ORI
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |