Cerro Largo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEF
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
CSC
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 1
MWA
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 6
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
PLA
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |