Cerro Largo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 3
CEL
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 0
CER
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
CEL
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 1
LFC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 0
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
REN
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 6
RIV
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -2 |