Cerro Largo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LFC
2 - 1
CEL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
FEN
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
MWA
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
CEL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
DAN
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 0
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
CER
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |