Cerro Largo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 1
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
MWA
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 1
CEL
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 1
JUV
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CEL
4 - 1
BVS
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
EST
42%
28%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |